Set 1 Breakback
Back a player who loses their serve early in set 1, then lay when they break back.
Risk Level
low
Difficulty
beginner
Win Rate
70%
Min Edge
5%
Entry Rules
Back the player who was broken in the first 4 games of set 1, if they're a strong server or ranked higher. Enter immediately after the break when odds are inflated.
Exit Rules
Lay when the player breaks back. If no breakback by game 8, consider cutting losses. Green up for a guaranteed profit at the breakback moment.
Risk Management
Maximum 2% of bankroll. Only trade players with strong return games. Avoid matches between very unequal players.
Recommended stake: 2% of bankroll
Over-the-Shoulder Walkthroughs
Djokovic vs Nadal — Set 1 Breakback
Djokovic vs Nadal · Match Odds
Djokovic was broken in game 3 of set 1. His odds drifted from 1.80 to 2.20. We backed him at 2.20, expecting a breakback. He broke back in game 6, and we laid at 1.85 for a clean profit.
Win
+40